Weekly weather outlook 8th Nov

Apologies for the lack of forecast last week, too busy fishing and I also have had a cold!

Anyway here goes for another look ahead at what may (or may not) happen in the next week or so.

A ridge of high pressure currently sits over the UK but this is transitory and will be pushed away replaced by low pressure to the north. This will introduce westerly or south westerly winds over the weekend which will be breezy but unlikely to be very strong.
By Monday things become more interesting with another brief ridge being displaced by a deeper low off to the NW of the UK. This is likely to become entrenched for a while as it buts up against strong high pressure over nw Russia. This will introduce a southerly airstream with stronger winds at times. At the moment it is too far out to be certain but this low pressure could spawn deeper lows on it’s southern flank which could affect our region towards the middle/end of next week. Couple this with building tides through the week and it’s game on for the shore fishing. Each peak of tides has in recent weeks coincided with almost perfect weather conditions and each tide has brought in more and more Cod, and so far we have been lucky that this has been so, last year we were stuck in a very mild, very quiet period of weather, this year it is much more mobile.
Will this continue?
Well, that’s tricky to forecast this far out, the next 2 weeks certainly seem to want to bring in similar conditions, that is, mobile, westerly driven winds with brief ridges of high pressure. After that there are some indications that the atmosphere will become more blocked with high pressure to the NW. These conditions essentially put the brakes on the constant train of low pressure systems crossing the Atlantic and we can get stuck with one type of weather. Exactly what that weather will be is hard to forecast and depends on exactly where high pressure sets up shop. Over Greenland or Scandinavia will bring cold air from Arctic or Russia. If the high pressure builds more west than in can leave us in the cold and wet/ windy. To far east can leave us in mild/ wet conditions.
Of course it may not happen at all, in which case all bets are off!

All of this is yet to be decided and I will have more info next week hopefully. In the meantime, if anyone wishes to unlock their inner geek and take a look at prospects for the coming winter then take a look at this video:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=winter-thoughts-2012;sess=

Be warned though that it gets very technical, very nerdy and is 27 mins long! In a nutshell, there is lots of compelling evidence that we could be in for some very cold spells this winter!

Tight lines everyone!

Disclaimer:
I am an amateur forecaster and these forecasts are offered as a guide only as to what MAY be expected. Please, if you plan on fishing, especially afloat then you should check the professional forecasts for your local conditions before setting out